Prediction: Idea Management will grow 3X in the 2020s

Sustained economic growth is central to modern civilisation. Ideas, i.e. invention and innovation, are tightly coupled to economic growth.

But ideas are getting harder to find.

It takes ~5% more effort per year for idea inputs (researchers and research dollars) to translate to idea output. This trend is persistant, global and consistent at both micro and macro scales.

Funding is finite.

The incentives then are aligned at the economic level and within the ideas industry (universities, R&D centres, funding agencies) to produce more with less.

There is an entire under-discovered industry of idea management that has yet to emerge to help teams, individuals and institutions to find more ideas, faster and to squeeze more out of them when they do.

My prediction is that this idea management industry will grow more than 3X in the coming decade.